Atten Babler Meat FX Indices – Oct ’20
The Atten Babler Commodities Meat Foreign Exchange (FX) Indices declined throughout Sep ’20. The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index declined to a six month low level throughout the month while the USD/Meat Importer FX Index and USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index each declined to seven month low levels.
Global Meat Net Trade:
Major net meat exporters are led by the U.S., followed by Brazil, the EU-28, India, Canada and Australia (represented in green in the chart below). Major net meat importers are led by Japan, followed by Russia, Mexico, the U.S., China, the EU-28, Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia (represented in red in the chart below).
The United States accounts for over a quarter of the USD/Meat Exporter FX Index, followed by Brazil at 22% and the EU-28 at 14%. India, Canada and Australia each account for between 5-10% of the index.
Japan accounts for 14% of the USD/Meat Importer FX Index, followed by Russia at 12%. Mexico, the United States, China, the EU-28, Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia each account for between 5-10% of the index.
USD/Meat Exporter FX Index:
The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index declined 0.4 points from the previous month during Sep ’20, finishing at a six month low level of 156.3. Despite declining from the previous month, the USD/Meat Exporter FX Index remains up 0.7 points throughout the past six months and 47.6 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Meat Exporter FX Index reduces the competitiveness of U.S. meat relative to other exporting regions (represented in green in the Global Meat Net Trade chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Brazilian real has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.
Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Meat Exporter FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Brazilian real, followed by gains by the Indian rupee. USD gains were exhibited against the euro, Belarusian ruble and Argentine peso.
USD/Meat Importer FX Index:
The USD/Meat Importer FX Index declined 0.1 points during Sep ’20, finishing at a seven month low value of 156.6. The USD/Meat Importer FX Index has declined 1.7 points throughout the past six months but remains up 40.8 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Meat Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for major meat importing countries (represented in red in the Global Meat Net Trade chart), making U.S. meat more expensive to import. USD appreciation against the Russian ruble and Mexican peso has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.
Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Meat Importer FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Mexican peso, followed by gains by the Chinese yuan renminbi and Japanese yen. USD gains were exhibited against the Russian ruble and Angolan kwanza.
U.S. Meat Export Destinations:
Major destinations for U.S. meat exports are led by Mexico, followed by Japan, China, Canada, and Hong Kong.
Mexico accounts for over a quarter of the USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index, followed by Japan at 11%. China, Canada and Hong Kong each account for between 5-10% of the index.
USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index:
The USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index declined 1.0 point during Sep ’20, finishing at a seven month low value of 167.7. The USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index has declined 1.4 points throughout the past six months but remains up 50.3 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for the traditional buyers of U.S. meat (represented in red in the U.S. Meat Export Destinations chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Mexican peso has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.
Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Mexican peso, followed by gains by the Chinese yuan renminbi and Japanese yen. USD gains were exhibited against the Angolan kwanza and Russian ruble.