U.S. Oil Rig Count Update – 10/21/20
According to Baker Hughes, U.S. oil rig counts rebounded to a 19 week high level during the week ending Oct 16th but remained significantly lower on a YOY basis. Oct 16th week ending oil rig counts increased 6.2% from the previous week but remained 71.2% lower on a YOY basis and 76.9% below the three and a half year high levels experienced during November of 2018. Oil rig counts have increased over four consecutive weeks through the week ending Oct 16th. The Oct 16th increase in oil rig counts was the largest experienced throughout the past nine months on an absolute basis. Oil rig counts had declined over 21 of 22 weeks through mid-August.
Oil rig counts have declined in response to lower WTI crude oil prices, which have rebounded off of recent lows but remain 46% below the Oct ’18 highs during the week ending Oct 16th. Crude oil production volumes have declined over recent weeks, finishing 24% below the Mar ’20 record high levels during the week ending Oct 16th. Oct 16th week ending oil production per rig declined to a four month low level but remained historically high, overall. Crude oil production is expected to continue to slow throughout coming months according to drilling productivity estimates compiled throughout areas accounting for 95% of recent production gains.
Oil Rig Counts Peaked in Late 2014, Prior to Declining Sharply in Early 2015
Oil Rig Counts Followed Crude Oil Prices Lower Prior to Rebounding Throughout 2017-2018
Oct 16th Oil Rig Counts Increased 6.2% Week-Over-Week but Remained 71.2% Lower YOY
The Oct 16th Increase in Oil Rig Counts was the Largest Experienced in the Past Nine Months
Declines in Vertical Rigs Remain the Most Significant on a Percentage Basis
Oct 16th Crude Oil Production Remained 24% Below the Mar ’20 Record High Levels
Oct 16th Crude Oil Production per Rig Declined to a Four Month Low Level