U.S. Dairy Cow Slaughter Update – Nov ’16
U.S. Dairy Cow Slaughter Update – Nov ’16
According to USDA, Oct ’16 U.S. dairy cow slaughter of 237,200 head declined 5.3% seasonally MOM while also remaining 3.6% lower on a YOY basis when normalized for slaughter days. U.S. dairy cow slaughter rates have declined on a YOY basis throughout six of the past eight months while the seasonal decline in slaughter rates of 5.3% was larger than the ten year average September – October decline of 3.4%.
’15-’16 annual dairy cow slaughter finished down 0.4% as rates declined 1.5% below the previous year levels over the second half of the production season. Declines in slaughter rates have contributed to the U.S. milk cow herd finishing at the highest figures experienced throughout the past 18 years over recent months. The total U.S. milk cow herd currently stands at 9.34 million head, which is 15,000 head more than October of last year.
The most significant MOM decline in dairy cow slaughter was exhibited in Standard Federal Region 6 (Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas). Figures for Standard Federal Region 5 (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin) were withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operators.
The largest YOY declines in dairy cow slaughter were exhibited in Standard Federal Region 4 (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee), followed by Standard Federal Region 9 (Arizona, California, Hawaii and Nevada).
Dairy cow slaughter within Standard Federal Region 6 (Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas) declined 12.1% MOM while also remained 4.7% lower YOY when normalized for slaughter days. Monthly slaughter rates had reached record high levels during Jan ’16 as effects from Winter Storm Goliath were experienced, however slaughter levels have declined by a total of 9.1% YOY throughout the past eight months.
Dairy cow slaughter within Standard Federal Region 9 (Arizona, California, Hawaii and Nevada) declined 0.4% MOM while also finished down 3.3% YOY when normalized for slaughter days. ’15-’16 annual dairy cow slaughter finished down 1.3% YOY within Standard Federal Region 9.