U.S. Oil Rig Count Update – 1/6/21
According to Baker Hughes, U.S. oil rig counts rebounded to a seven month high level during the week ending Dec 31st but remained significantly lower on a YOY basis. Dec 31st week ending oil rig counts increased 1.1% from the previous week but remained 60.1% lower on a YOY basis and 69.9% below the three and a half year high levels experienced during November of 2018. Oil rig counts have increased over 14 of the past 15 weeks through the week ending Dec 31st. Oil rig counts had declined over 24 of 27 weeks through mid-September.
Oil rig counts have declined in response to lower WTI crude oil prices, which have rebounded off of recent lows but remain 36% below the Oct ’18 highs during the week ending Dec 31st. Crude oil production volumes remained 16% below the Mar ’20 record high levels during the week ending Dec 31st while oil production per rig declined to a seven month low level but remained historically high, overall. Crude oil production is expected to continue to slow throughout coming months according to drilling productivity estimates compiled throughout areas accounting for 95% of recent production gains.
Oil Rig Counts Peaked in Late 2014, Prior to Declining Sharply in Early 2015
Oil Rig Counts Followed Crude Oil Prices Lower Prior to Rebounding Throughout 2017-2018
Dec 31st Oil Rig Counts Increased 1.1% Week-Over-Week but Remained 60.1% Lower YOY
Oil Rigs Have Increased Over 14 of the Past 15 Weeks Through the Week Ending Dec 31st
Horizontal Rigs Have Accounted for Over 99% of the Rebound in Total Rigs Since Mid-August
Dec 31st Crude Oil Production Remained 16% Below the Mar ’20 Record High Levels
Dec 31st Crude Oil Production per Rig Declined to a Seven Month Low Level