The Atten Babler Commodities Ethanol Foreign Exchange (FX) Indices weakened throughout Jan ’22. The USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index and USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index each declined slightly throughout the month.

Global Ethanol Producers:

Major ethanol producers are led by the U.S., followed by Brazil, the EU-28, China, India and Canada.

The U.S. accounts for half of the USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index while Brazil accounts for over a quarter of the index.

USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index:

The USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index declined 1.0 point throughout Jan ’22, finishing at a value of 135.4. The USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index remained up 2.9 points throughout the past six months and 30.8 points since the beginning of 2014, despite the most recent decline. A strong USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index reduces the competitiveness of U.S. ethanol relative to other major producing regions (represented in green in the Global Ethanol Producers chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Brazilian real has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.

Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index during Jan ’22 was led by gains by the Brazilian real, followed by gains by the Canadian dollar, Indian rupee, euro and Chinese yuan renminbi.

U.S. Ethanol Export Destinations:

Major destinations for U.S. ethanol exports are led by Canada, followed by the Philippines, Brazil, the United Arab Emirates, Peru and Mexico.

Canada accounts for over a half of the USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index while the Philippines, Brazil, the United Arab Emirates, Peru and Mexico each account for between 5-10% of the index.

USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index:

The USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index declined 1.3 points throughout Jan ’22, finishing at a value of 111.4. The USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index remained up 1.8 points throughout the past six months and 23.6 points since the beginning of 2014, despite the most recent decline. A strong USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for the traditional buyers of U.S. ethanol (represented in red in the U.S. Ethanol Export Destinations chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Canadian dollar has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.

Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index during Jan ’22 was led by gains by the Canadian dollar, followed by gains by the Peruvian sol, Brazilian real and Mexican peso. USD gains were exhibited against the Philippine peso.